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Concept of Probability

Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring within a range from 0 to 1:

  • 0: The event is impossible.
  • 1: The event is certain.
  • Between 0 and 1: Indicates varying levels of uncertainty. A higher value denotes greater likelihood.
Key Terms in Probability
  1. Experiment:
    • Any process or action that generates a set of outcomes.
    • Example: Flipping a coin, rolling a die.
  2. Outcome:
    • A possible result of an experiment.
    • Example: Heads in a coin flip, rolling a 4 on a die.
  3. Sample Space (S):
    • The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
    • Example: For a coin flip, S={Heads, Tails} 
  4. Event (E):
    • A subset of the sample space, representing one or more outcomes of interest.
    • Example: Getting an even number when rolling a die (E={2,4,6} 
Types of Events in Probability
  1. Independent Events:
    • Events that do not influence each other.
    • Example: Rolling a die and flipping a coin simultaneously.
  2. Dependent Events:
    • Events where the occurrence of one affects the likelihood of the other.
    • Example: Drawing cards without replacement.
  3. Mutually Exclusive Events:
    • Events that cannot occur simultaneously.
    • Example: Rolling a 3 or a 5 on a die.
  4. Complementary Events:
    • The event and its complement together cover the entire sample space.
    • Example: If EEE is rolling an even number, E′E’E′ (complement) is rolling an odd number.
Laws of Probability
  1. Addition Rule:
    • For mutually exclusive events: P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B) 
    • For non-mutually exclusive events: P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B) 
  2. Multiplication Rule:
    • For independent events: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B) 
    • For dependent events: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B∣A) where P(B∣A) is the conditional probability of B given A.
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