Concept of Probability
Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring within a range from 0 to 1:
- 0: The event is impossible.
- 1: The event is certain.
- Between 0 and 1: Indicates varying levels of uncertainty. A higher value denotes greater likelihood.
Key Terms in Probability
- Experiment:
- Any process or action that generates a set of outcomes.
- Example: Flipping a coin, rolling a die.
- Outcome:
- A possible result of an experiment.
- Example: Heads in a coin flip, rolling a 4 on a die.
- Sample Space (S):
- The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
- Example: For a coin flip, S={Heads, Tails}
- Event (E):
- A subset of the sample space, representing one or more outcomes of interest.
- Example: Getting an even number when rolling a die (E={2,4,6}
Types of Events in Probability
- Independent Events:
- Events that do not influence each other.
- Example: Rolling a die and flipping a coin simultaneously.
- Dependent Events:
- Events where the occurrence of one affects the likelihood of the other.
- Example: Drawing cards without replacement.
- Mutually Exclusive Events:
- Events that cannot occur simultaneously.
- Example: Rolling a 3 or a 5 on a die.
- Complementary Events:
- The event and its complement together cover the entire sample space.
- Example: If EEE is rolling an even number, E′E’E′ (complement) is rolling an odd number.
Laws of Probability
- Addition Rule:
- For mutually exclusive events: P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)
- For non-mutually exclusive events: P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
- Multiplication Rule:
- For independent events: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B)
- For dependent events: P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B∣A) where P(B∣A) is the conditional probability of B given A.