Probability Theory
Probability Theory is the foundation of understanding uncertainty and randomness. Imagine flipping a coin or rolling a dice—probability helps you calculate the likelihood of these events occurring. At its core, probability theory provides the tools to assess and quantify uncertainty in various situations.
The concept of probability is built on measuring the chance of an event happening, using different approaches such as classical, frequentist, and subjective methods. Probability distributions then take this idea further, describing how outcomes are spread across different possibilities.
One of the most powerful concepts in probability is the Central Limit Theorem, which explains why, as sample sizes increase, their average tends to follow a normal distribution, regardless of the original data’s shape. Sampling methods come into play as we collect data, and hypothesis testing allows us to make inferences about populations based on sample data. Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) further helps in comparing means across different groups, revealing whether differences in data are statistically significant.
In essence, probability theory equips us with a structured way to make sense of randomness, guiding decision-making, predictions, and scientific discovery across fields like economics, science, and engineering.